For years, UK universities have relied on international students as a critical revenue stream. Yet, the cost of recruiting these students has skyrocketed – raising serious questions about the financial sustainability of the current model.
In 2012, I wrote in a PIE Blog that if we continued on this trajectory, international office directors would do themselves out of jobs as recruitment costs ate into margins.
Today, I believe that prediction is more relevant than ever. Despite the huge increase in international students enrolling in UK universities since 2012, the net financial benefit is diminishing. If we don’t rethink our approach, the financial gains from international student recruitment may soon disappear altogether.
The university archetypes – different strategies, different outcomes
Not all universities approach international recruitment in the same way. Some rely on prestige and high fees, while others pursue high-volume recruitment strategies that come with significant costs. We can categorise universities into five broad archetypes:
- Prestige players – High fees, strong reputations, and lower recruitment costs. These universities benefit from brand value and strong global rankings, enabling them to attract students directly without relying heavily on costly recruitment channels.
- Volume hunters – Prioritise enrolments at the expense of net revenue per student. Their model depends on heavy reliance on agents and discounts, often reducing the financial sustainability of each enrolled student.
- Strategists – Balance volume and financial sustainability. These institutions carefully calibrate their recruitment efforts to ensure that acquisition costs do not erode profitability.
- Opportunists – Shift strategies quickly based on market trends. While this flexibility can be beneficial in the short term, it can also result in financial volatility and unsustainable recruitment models.
- Outsourcers – Delegate recruitment to third-party providers. While this can reduce in-house recruitment costs, it often comes at the expense of control over student quality and brand positioning.
It’s important to note that not all universities fit neatly into a single category – many combine elements from different archetypes. For example, a university may pursue volume recruitment in some markets while maintaining a prestige pricing model in others. However, the fundamental challenge remains: is the chosen strategy financially sustainable in the long run?
If we don’t rethink our approach, the financial gains from international student recruitment may soon disappear altogether
While the ‘prestige players’ continue to thrive financially, the ‘volume hunters’ are increasingly finding themselves in a precarious situation. The fundamental assumption that higher international student numbers mean higher profits is proving false for many institutions.
The financial reality: diminishing net revenue
Universities often focus on their headline international student numbers or quote their total international student fee revenue, but what actually makes it to the bottom line after recruitment costs? Let’s break it down:
- Gross revenue starts with the sticker-price tuition fee.
- Scholarships & discounts immediately reduce real income. Universities, competing in an increasingly price-sensitive market, are offering significant discounts and bursaries, further cutting into revenue.
- International office staff costs, marketing, and overseas offices further eat into margins. Universities spend millions on recruitment activities, from digital marketing campaigns to in-country recruitment staff.
- Agent commissions – sometimes as high as 30% – become the biggest single cost. The reliance on agents has increased significantly, with at least one university paying more than £50 million in agent commission alone.
- What’s left? In some cases, universities make less per international student than they charge a home undergraduate. This is despite the fact that vice-chancellors frequently argue that the English home undergraduate fee cap of £9,250 is insufficient to cover costs.
The extreme case: volume hunters
A particularly stark example is seen in high-volume recruitment institutions, where agent commissions alone consume more than 30% of total international tuition revenue. By the time all other costs are factored in, some universities may retain only a fraction of the original tuition fee per student. The financial model underpinning this approach is rapidly becoming untenable.
For these institutions, the international student recruitment model is now a high-cost, low-return business. And yet, the strategy remains unchanged.
The big question: what are we doing and why?
Given these financial realities, we must ask:
- Are we chasing volume at the expense of sustainability? Have we become so focused on meeting enrolment targets that we’ve lost sight of financial viability?
- Are we too reliant on agent-heavy recruitment models? The UK is not the only major study destination that depends on agents – Australia and other countries also rely heavily on agent networks. The problem is not the use of agents – who remain an incredibly important recruitment channel – but that the cost of commissions and the resources required to service these agents has spiralled in our competitive fervour.
- Are we focusing on enrolment targets instead of long-term financial health? Many universities still equate higher international student numbers with financial success, but the data shows this is no longer true for many institutions.
If the current model is broken, where do we go from here? Universities, policymakers, and sector leaders must rethink strategies – prioritising net revenue per student over raw enrolment numbers, diversifying recruitment channels, and ensuring that international students remain a financially sustainable part of UK higher education.
The bottom line? International recruitment is only worth it if we do it right. If we continue on the current path, some universities may soon find that their biggest revenue stream is, in fact, their biggest financial liability.
International higher education consultant Vincenzo Raimo will be speaking at The PIE Live Europe on Let it go! – building new channels, markets and strategies for the very different world that’s coming fast on March 11 at 14:00. Tickets are available online here.
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